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EXCERPT:
CILLIZZA: “This is the generic ballot. The reason we call it that because it’s basically the question is asked which party do — which candidate do you favor, a Democrat or a Republican, no names? OK, this is interesting. Nationwide when we asked this question, we get this, D plus three, 50 for Democrats, 47 for Republicans. But when we ask it in competitive districts where this is going to be fought out, in — you know not every district of this country is competitive. I come from a district in Connecticut, not competitive at all — In competitive districts, look at this, look how this changes, R plus five. That number right here, this is good news if you are a Republican, because it suggests in the places where this election is going to be decided, Republicans have an edge. So this number — look, you’re not upset if you’re a Democrat with this number, but this is the number that really matters because remember, 435 districts vote, but probably only 35 to 50 are the ones that are deciding the majority. And in those, R plus five.”