RUSH EXCERPT:
CARLSON: “A nationally, federally mandated shutdown. How long would such a shutdown last? Well, just two days ago Anthony Fauci suggested the country should remain under quarantine until there are no more Coronavirus infections and no more deaths. He did not suggest when that might be, if ever. The politicians followed his lead anyway. Virginia governor shut down his stay until June 10th. A source acknowledged tonight that Andrew Cuomo has privately discussed locking down the state of New York until possibly fall.
“Meanwhile, various epidemiologists are talking about putting an entire hear of cycled shutdowns. That means Americans will be allowed back to work and home again and then back to work over and over again. To be clear, these are extreme measures. We can only guess of the social and economic destruction they might wreak, but it would be profound, that is for sure. With this much at stake it’s important to know more about the science behind these proposed policies.
“So, what is the science? Begins with sophisticated computer models that predict where and how quickly the virus will spread beer the purpose of these predictions is to come as you’ve often heard, flatten the curve. Not necessarily to lower the death rate. We haven’t been able to do that much, but to slow the spread of the pandemic over a longer period of time. Why? Because if everyone were to get sick at once our health care system would collapse and that would leave Coronavirus patients and many other sick people without care and that would be a Disaster, so were trying hard to prevent it and we should be here but it means these productions really matter. How reliable have they been? Well, many government policymakers have relied on the model created by the institute for health metrics and evaluation. The ih me. By some measures by death rate that model has been fairly accurate. Yesterday for example the model predicted 1,036 deaths nationwide and that turned out to be close to what happen. Today it protects about 1200 and judging by the numbers right now, 8:14 eastern time, that should be roughly accurate too. But on other, likely more important numbers, these productions have been terrible at best. As of yesterday, the ih and E model predicted the country would need 135,000 hospital beds just to treat Coronavirus patients. That’s what they said. New York alone a predicate would need 56,000. That turned out to be not even close. Yesterday, New York was about 13,400 Coronavirus hospitalizations. That’s not even a quarter of what the model predicted and even that is closer than what the model predicted in other states. For example, the model predicted Oklahoma would need 1,000 hospital beds. How many are they using a customer at 38. Louisiana was forecasted to need 5,800 beds. Instead yesterday they had about 1600 cases, just a small fraction. And so on and so on. Nationwide, three states had more hospitalizations than the model predicted and in all three of those they were small states with very small outbreaks so far. So why does this matter customer hears the problem with getting these numbers so horribly wrong. These numbers have driven massively disruptive government policy. Our entire national shutdown is based on the fear that Coronavirus patients would overwhelm hospitals. Outside of parts of New York City, that has not happened. And we are glad for that, but we’re concerned about what we’ve done to prevent it on the basis of models that have been wrong. So, flip it on its head. What would’ve happened if the model had been accurate? If it had accurately predicted how many hospital beds we needed? If we had known that, would we have quarantined the country cosmic that is a good question. Unfortunately, it’s too late now. More than 10 million Americans have already lost their Jobs. Imagine another year of this. That would be national suicide, and yet, that is what Anthony Fauci is suggesting, at least. Now, we’re not suggesting that the fat she wants to hurt America. Doesn’t seem like he does come he seems look a very. But Fauci is not an economist or someone who fears being unemployed himself. This is just an observation. Fauci has bulletproof job security. He’s not thinking that way. He has the luxury of looking at the world through the narrow lens of his profession. He doesn’t seem to think much outside that lens. Watch this exchange from NBC’s morning show yesterday.”